Household Debt Surpasses the Peak of the 2009 Financial Crisis.

Kevin Morgan
February 24, 2023
Household Debt Surpasses the Peak of the 2009 Financial Crisis.

In New Zealand, household debt refers to the total amount of debt that households have accumulated, including mortgages, personal loans, credit card balances, and other forms of borrowing. Household debt is a common feature of modern economies, with many individuals using borrowing as a means of purchasing homes, investing in education, and making large purchases.

The 2009 Financial Crisis was a global economic downturn that was triggered by the collapse of the US housing market, which had been fueled by risky lending practices and a proliferation of mortgage-backed securities. The crisis resulted in a sharp decline in global economic growth, widespread job losses, and a significant increase in household debt.

Unfortunately, the situation in New Zealand today is not much better than it was during the 2009 Financial Crisis. In fact, household debt in New Zealand has surpassed the peak of the crisis, with significant implications for personal finances and the national economy.

In this blog post, we will explore the reasons for this increase in household debt, its impact on individuals and the economy, and potential solutions for managing this debt. However, it's important to note that these solutions may not be easy, and will require a concerted effort from individuals and the government to address the issue.

Household Debt in New Zealand

According to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, household debt in New Zealand has risen steadily over the past decade, reaching new record highs. This represents significant increases from the previous peak of $145 billion in 2009, during the financial crisis. The average household debt-to-income ratio in New Zealand is now around 164%, which means that households owe more than one and a half times their annual income.

Comparison with the 2009 Financial Crisis:

The increase in household debt in New Zealand has surpassed the peak of the 2009 Financial Crisis, which saw the country's household debt-to-income ratio rise to around 159%. This suggests that the current situation is more dire than it was during the financial crisis, and that there are likely to be significant consequences for households and the economy if the trend continues.

Reasons for the Increase in Household Debt:

There are several reasons why household debt has increased so significantly in New Zealand in recent years. One major factor was the country's overheated housing market, which saw house prices rise rapidly in many parts of the country. This led many households to take on large mortgages in order to purchase homes, driving up the overall level of household debt.

Additionally, low interest rates made borrowing cheaper and more accessible, while rising living costs made it more difficult for many households to save money and avoid debt.

Impact of Increased Household Debt

Personal Finances:

Increased household debt can have significant implications for personal finances, including higher levels of stress, increased financial instability, and difficulty making ends meet. Many households in New Zealand are now struggling to make their mortgage payments or pay off their credit card balances, and some are even facing the possibility of losing their homes. This can have a devastating impact on individuals and families, leading to increased levels of poverty, mental health issues, and social isolation.

National Economy:

The increase in household debt also has implications for the wider New Zealand economy, as it can lead to slower economic growth and increased financial instability.

Higher levels of household debt can make it more difficult for households to invest in education, start businesses, or save for the future, which can ultimately lead to slower economic growth and a less dynamic economy.

Additionally, if large numbers of households begin defaulting on their loans or struggling to make their payments, this can lead to financial instability and potentially even a broader economic downturn.

Comparison with the 2009 Financial Crisis

The impact of increased household debt in New Zealand today is similar to what was observed during the 2009 Financial Crisis, but the magnitude of the problem is now much greater.

This suggests that the potential consequences for households and the economy are also greater, and that urgent action is needed to address the issue.

Solutions for Managing Household Debt

Personal Strategies:

Individuals can take several steps to manage their household debt, including creating a budget, reducing unnecessary expenses, and consolidating high-interest debt.

It's also important to avoid taking on new debt wherever possible, and to seek professional advice if struggling with debt.

Government Strategies:

The New Zealand government can also play a role in managing household debt, through measures such as regulating the housing market, implementing financial education programs, and providing support for households in financial distress.

The government can also consider implementing policies that promote economic growth and job creation, which can help to reduce household debt levels over time.

Comparison with the 2009 Financial Crisis:

The solutions that were effective during the 2009 Financial Crisis, such as stimulus spending and targeted support for struggling households, may also be relevant in the current context.

However, it's important to note that the current situation in New Zealand is more complex and challenging than it was during the financial crisis, and that a comprehensive and multifaceted approach will be needed to address the issue of household debt.

Conclusion

Household debt in New Zealand has surpassed the peak of the 2009 Financial Crisis, with significant implications for personal finances and the national economy. The increase in household debt is driven by factors such as an overheated housing market, low interest rates, and rising living costs.

Urgent action is needed to address the issue of household debt, both at the individual and governmental level. Individuals can take steps to manage their debt and seek professional advice, while the government can implement policies that promote financial education, regulate the housing market, and support households in financial distress.

The consequences of inaction are severe, with potential impacts on individual wellbeing, economic growth, and financial stability. By taking action now, we can mitigate the effects of household debt and build a more resilient and sustainable economy for the future.

Kevin Morgan
February 24, 2023
5 min read